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Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang91%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng84%9 more
$575KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest70%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest23%2 more
$7.0KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
69%YesNo
1
24%YesNo
$6.5KVol. Jul 12science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$118KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+92%
90-100mm2%6 more
$2.1KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3162%
August 30
August 3060%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
74%YesNo
9
10%YesNo
$5.9KVol. Jul 12science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

450-475mm
450-475mm44%
<400mm
<400mm43%8 more
$1.1KVol. Jul 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10041%
100–12934%7 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

78%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

5-6"
5-6"58%
3-4"
3-4"53%4 more
$92.67Vol. Jul 31science